Authoritarian Shift or Normal Politics? Let’s Look

Many Americans feel uneasy right now.

Courts are challenged. Elections are questioned. Federal power feels closer to daily life.

Some people see normal conflict. Others see democratic backsliding.

The question worth asking is simple.

Is the United States becoming authoritarian, or is the current administration actively pushing it in that direction?

This article avoids party labels. It focuses on patterns you can verify, with links to court rulings, executive orders, and reporting from across the political spectrum.

What “authoritarianism” means in plain English

Authoritarianism does not mean “a policy I hate.”

It means power concentrates until real checks stop working.

Political scientists often watch for a cluster of warning signs:

  • Courts still exist, but rulings become easier to ignore
  • Elections still happen, but the system tilts through rules, fear, or intimidation
  • Law enforcement becomes more political and less accountable
  • Independent institutions are pulled under executive control
  • Protest is treated as a threat rather than a right
  • Loyalty matters more than competence in public service
  • Truth becomes optional, especially around state power

No single item proves authoritarianism. The pattern matters.


Trump Administration Fascist / Authoritarian Traits — Evidence

Legend
✓ Accomplished — realized in practice
◐ Partially accomplished — uneven, contested, limited, or constrained by institutions
△ Attempted and failed — clear effort met with resistance
— Not attempted
Trait (Operational Definition)StatusExamples (each with link)
Mythic ultranationalism (decline → rebirth)“Make America Great Again” as national restoration (Britannica); immigrants framed as “invasion” (NPR); “poisoning the blood” language (Washington Post)
Leader as sole legitimate voice of the people“I am your voice” (Time); refusal to accept loss (AP)
Opposition framed as enemies“Enemy of the people” press attacks (NYT); opponents called traitors (Reuters)
Systematic attacks on independent media“Fake news” delegitimization (Pew); license revocation threats (Reuters)
Rejection of pluralism/minority legitimacyMuslim travel ban (SCOTUSblog); migrants framed as criminals (BBC)
Politicization of truthFalse fraud claims (AP); contradiction without correction (Washington Post Fact Checker)
Mass mobilization via grievance/fearRally rhetoric (NPR); constant emergency framing (Politico)
Loyalty tests over competenceFirings for refusal to act unlawfully (NYT); pressure on DOJ (DOJ Inspector General)
Attacks on judicial legitimacy“So-called judge” rhetoric (Reuters); partisan framing (SCOTUSblog)
Electoral delegitimizationPreemptive fraud claims (AP); “rigged” narrative (Reuters)
Militarization of politics“Law and order” absolutism (NYT); federal force optics (ACLU)
Permanent internal enemy narrativeMigrants/media/deep state framing (ADL)
Tolerance of political violence“Stand back and stand by” (Wall Street Journal); Jan. 6 minimization (Reuters)
Paramilitary/militia sympathyRefusal to condemn armed groups (CNN); shared symbols (ADL)
Erosion of civil serviceSchedule F order (Federal Register); “deep state” rhetoric (Brookings)
Selective law enforcementCalls to jail opponents (BBC); ally protection (ProPublica)
Internal security forces used for intimidationPortland federal agents (NYT); unidentified officers (ACLU)
Curtailment of protest rightsLafayette Square clearing (Inspector General Report); militarized response (Human Rights Watch)
ICE used as internal coercive forceMinnesota ICE surge (Reuters); raids chilling communities (NPR)
Agent immunity/insulationFederal preemption claims (DOJ filings); resistance to state oversight (Guardian)
Neutralization (delay/disregard) of courtsDelayed compliance (NYT); forum shopping (Brennan Center)
Manipulation of election rulesAbsentee ballot attacks (NPR); state pressure (NYT)
Disenfranchisement via fearICE chilling turnout (Brennan Center); Minnesota fear effects (Reuters)
Corporate-state ideological fusionCrony favoritism (ProPublica); punitive rhetoric (CNBC)
Expansion of emergency powersBorder emergency (Congressional Research Service); court limits (SCOTUSblog)
Leader above the lawAbsolute immunity claims (DOJ memos); loyalty pardons (NYT)
Subordination of judiciaryDOJ pressure attempts (Senate Judiciary); blocked by courts (AP)
Annulment/overturn electionJan. 6 pressure (Jan. 6 Committee Report); fake electors (DOJ)
Personalization of militaryDomestic troop calls (Reuters); refusal by military (Atlantic)
One-party stateOpposition legal (Freedom House)
Abolition of electionsElections proceeded (EAC)
Ideological totalismNo coherent state doctrine (Brookings)
Total control of culture/educationPressure without capture (PEN America)
Mass political purgesNo systematic arrests (Amnesty)
Consolidated authoritarian stateInstitutions constrained consolidation (Freedom House)

What we can observe right now

Courts function, under sustained pressure

white cathedral

Courts continue to issue injunctions and block executive actions, which still acts as a real constraint. Legal analysis at SCOTUSblog documents how judges increasingly serve as the front line against executive overreach.

At the same time, judges are publicly attacked as illegitimate, and compliance with rulings is contested or delayed. Courts do not need to be abolished to be weakened. They only need to be treated as optional.

Elections continue, while the administration pushes federal control

a sign with red writing

States traditionally administer U.S. elections. That decentralization is a safety feature because it limits the ability of any single authority to control outcomes.

The current administration openly promotes expanded federal involvement in election administration. Trump publicly suggests that the federal government should “take over” state-run elections, as reported by ABC News, arguing that states cannot be trusted.

At the same time, the White House declines to rule out federal immigration agents appearing near polling sites, according to Reuters, raising concerns about voter intimidation even without formal deployment plans.

Trump-aligned lawmakers also push federal voting bills that would significantly change registration and voting rules nationwide. The Washington Post reports these proposals would impose new documentation requirements and restrict commonly used voting methods.

The administration issues executive action aimed at reshaping election administration. A March 2025 executive order on election “integrity,” published by the White House, prompts legal concern, with Votebeat explaining how it could alter state-run processes.

These moves do not cancel elections. They centralize control over election rules and public confidence.

Protest is reframed as a security problem

In democratic systems, protest is treated as a normal part of politics.

Crowd of people holding signs at a protest

In authoritarian-leaning systems, protest is framed as disorder, extremism, or threat.

The current administration uses law-and-order rhetoric to justify aggressive responses to protest, including expanded federal involvement. Past Inspector General findings on federal crowd-control operations remain relevant because the same legal and tactical frameworks are now defended again.

The Department of the Interior’s Inspector General previously found that federal officers cleared peaceful protesters from Lafayette Square without adequate justification, a finding documented in the official review.

What matters now is not the history lesson. It is the precedent: once protest is treated as a security threat, escalation becomes easier and accountability weaker.

Courts find ICE repeatedly violates the law

It is possible to support immigration enforcement and still demand legality.

The issue is not whether ICE has authority. It does. The issue is whether ICE follows the limits imposed by courts and the Constitution.

Recent reporting shows that it often does not.

The Associated Press reports on an ICE memo asserting agents can enter homes without a judicial warrant. Fourth Amendment experts strongly dispute this claim.

A federal judge explains why in a ruling covered by Wired, noting that ICE paperwork does not qualify as a judicial warrant.

The Brennan Center explains why these practices violate the Fourth Amendment.

Courts also document ICE ignoring court orders. A federal judge in Minnesota reports ICE likely violated dozens of orders in one month, stating that “ICE is not a law unto itself,” as reported by KSTP.

In Colorado, lawyers accuse ICE of violating a federal injunction against warrantless arrests, according to KUNC.

In a constitutional system, enforcement follows the law. In an authoritarian-leaning system, the badge defines the law.

Courts find federal agents made false claims about enforcement

Spin is normal in politics. Systematic falsehoods about state violence are not.

A federal judge finds that immigration agents repeatedly use unlawful force and then lie about what happened. In a ruling covered by WTTW, the court states the government’s claims were “simply not credible.”

The court’s findings describe repeated misrepresentation of threats and conduct.

This matters because authoritarian politics depend on undermining shared reality.

Loyalty replaces competence in the civil service

Today in 1947: President Truman Signs Executive Order 9835, ordering all federal employees to submit to loyalty cehcks to root out communists in the U.S. government. What does loyalty to your country mean to you? #talkbackhistory #loyalty

Democracies rely on professional civil servants who can say “no” when the law requires it.

The current administration advances policies that weaken job protections for federal workers and expand the president’s ability to remove career staff.

These efforts build on earlier Schedule F-style reclassification attempts, which failed to fully take effect but now serve as a tested blueprint.

The Federal Register documents changes that reduce insulation between political leadership and career officials.

Political scientists consistently flag loyalty purges as a key step in authoritarian consolidation.

Independent agencies and commissions are pulled under White House control

Independent commissions exist to be insulated from direct political control.

The administration issued an executive order titled “Ensuring Accountability for All Agencies”, asserting presidential authority over historically independent bodies.

Campaign organizations sued over the effect this order could have on the Federal Election Commission, according to Politico.

Inside agencies, the shift is already visible. The Verge reports FTC staff are instructed to stop calling the agency “independent.”

Centralizing control over enforcement and information is not a neutral reform. It is a power move.

Five questions that cut through the noise

A large question mark symbol filled with a distressed, metallic-textured American flag pattern, featuring red and white vertical stripes and white stars on a blue background

  • Are court orders followed in practice?
  • Do federal agents clearly identify themselves?
  • Can people protest without being treated as threats?
  • Can people vote without fear or intimidation?
  • Are public servants protected from loyalty purges?

Those are not partisan questions. They are rule-of-law questions.

There is a bipartisan path forward.

  • Demand legality. Strong borders and due process are not opposites.
  • Protect protest. Order and dissent can coexist. Democracies require both.
  • Protect elections from intimidation. Voters must feel safe, regardless of party.
  • Support visible identification. Courts reject blanket mask bans but uphold ID requirements, as reported by Reuters.
  • Call representatives with one sentence. “I want lawful enforcement, protected protest, and elections free from intimidation.”

Where this leaves us

The United States is not an authoritarian state.

It is also not immune to authoritarian pressure.

The current administration advances multiple tactics associated with authoritarian drift: testing court compliance, tolerating unlawful enforcement, reframing protest as threat, weakening civil service protections, centralizing control over independent institutions, and pushing expanded federal involvement in elections.

Whether those efforts succeed depends on whether courts, civil servants, voters, and elected officials across parties insist that limits apply.

If you care about freedom, start with the boring stuff: warrants, courts, protest rights, civil service rules, and elections run without fear.

Meanwhile…

Throughout this upheaval, as a Christian, I’ve found comfort and perspective in the Apostles’ Creed. When I’m concerned about current events or predictions about the future, I find myself saying, “Even so…

I believe in God, the Father almighty, Maker of heaven and earth; and in Jesus Christ, his only Son, our Lord, who was conceived by the Holy Spirit, born of the Virgin Mary, suffered under Pontius Pilate, was crucified, died, and was buried; he descended into hell; on the third day he rose again from the dead; he ascended into heaven, and is seated at the right hand of God the Father almighty; from there he will come to judge the living and the dead. I believe in the Holy Spirit, the holy Christian Church, the communion of saints, the forgiveness of sins, the resurrection of the body, and life everlasting.

The creed is in many ways a statement of defiance — no matter the past, present, or future, God is almighty, Christ is risen, and the Spirit gives us hope and confidence. That empowers us to love and serve our neighbors, no matter who they are. That’s how we pray in the Lord’s Prayer that God’s name would be honored, his rule would manifest, and his desires fulfilled among us.




A Bug’s Election: When the elephant and donkey look more like grasshoppers

You’ve probably heard and believed the Wasted Vote Myth.

The biggest objection by allies to voting for a Third Party is the “wasted vote” argument — the idea that if you vote for someone who will not win, then the vote does not count.

Join any third party and merely suggest that another person consider voting for a third party candidate and you will hear, ad nauseum, “I don’t want to waste my vote.”

This election appears unique in recent decades in that even the major parties aren’t unified in their support of their nominees. The “Bernie or Bust” movement remains strong even after Sanders endorsed Clinton, and many wondered right up to the nomination whether the GOP would actually nominate Trump, who stands against so much of their platform.

In 2004, Barack Obama said, “I’m not George Bush,” or something equivalent so often that it seemed like he’d forgotten whom he was running against, basing much of his campaign on low satisfaction with the GOP, and 8 years later, based on social media trends, the primary platform of both parties seems to be, “Vote for the lesser of 2 evils.” But is that our lot?

This trend reminds me of the grasshoppers in Pixar’s A Bug’s Life. They were bullies who knew that they only had power if they could keep the masses of ants to see themselves as individuals instead of a collective whole. Once the ants realized they could easily overpower the bullies if they stood together, the grasshoppers fled, realizing the masses had seen through their ruse.

But what if the masses voted with their principles instead of out of fear? What if each individual chose candidates, both executive and legislative, from the entire slate of available candidates instead of choosing from only 2 out of obligation?

Personally, I haven’t chosen yet. Now that the slate has been finalized, I have some time to look over the records and positions of all of my available candidates, and I’m confident that my votes will represent multiple parties. And unlike the above linked article, I’m not saying anyone should automatically vote for one of the smaller parties. Rather, vote your values and principles.

If you believe that Trump’s show of strength and populist positions outweigh his open mockery of the handicapped and most other minorities, or that you like Pence enough to allow Trump into the White House in morbid hope that somehow the VP becomes president, then vote Trump.

But if you normally vote Republican but see Trump as the catalyst that will destroy the party’s credibility in the future, look elsewhere.

If you agree with 2016 Barack Obama that Clinton is the most qualified presidential candidate ever, even though she needed the DNC to manipulate the primaries to ensure Sanders didn’t get the votes he needed, vote Clinton.

But if you see her as a corporate sellout who looks more stereotypically Republican than Trump and consider her support of a wall on the Mexican border only a year ago hypocritical to her open position on immigration today, look elsewhere.

Johnson has the next largest support base, and if you agree with the Libertarian ideals, not just on the off chance that enough disgust with the Big 2 could get an independent candidate elected, vote Johnson.

But if Libertarianism just looks like thinly veiled anarchy to you, look elsewhere.

From there, work down the list, from Stein and the Greens to the many smaller parties.

When candidates get a landslide vote, they see it as a mandate, not, “Wow! The other major candidate was terrible! That’s the only explanation!” Is that the message you want to send or not? You have the opportunity to express your values, not only in the voting booth, but via email and social media. Say what you really believe, and don’t let anyone bully you into voting for them.

As a Christian, I believe that Christ is ultimately in charge, and that He can and always does use broken people to accomplish His will for us as individuals, nations, and the world, even when that requires calamity to wake us up, so I don’t have to be afraid of the election results. I can vote confidently, using my conscience and research to choose the best candidate in each race, and if my candidate loses (I’ve never had 100% success, even when pulling a party lever), I know that Jesus is neither surprised nor worried, so if the One in charge isn’t worried, why should I?




Or are we just addicted to the same old ideas?

What really causes addiction — to everything from cocaine to smart-phones? And how can we overcome it? Johann Hari has seen our current methods fail firsthand, as he has watched loved ones struggle to manage their addictions. He started to wonder why we treat addicts the way we do — and if there might be a better way. As he shares in this deeply personal talk, his questions took him around the world, and unearthed some surprising and hopeful ways of thinking about an age-old problem.

This is a chart showing trends in arrests for ...

This is a chart showing trends in arrests for drug abuse violations divided by age groups from 1970-2003. Deutsch: gestapeltes Säulendiagramm (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

TED Talks inspire and frustrate me. Here’s a classic example. While I’m passionately against drug abuse and have seen it destroy too many lives close to me, I also believe in addressing it effectively instead of playing Security Theater. Portugal has already tested the science and succeeded, so why would we not follow suit? Because it’s counterintuitive change, and enough Americans distrust scientists and Europe to fight it.

At the same time, we can’t oversimplify (See the article below.) It’s not an easy solution, but it seems worth exploring. Let’s start by looking at Portugal and taking it from there.

What do you think? Is this completely crazy, or just crazy enough to work?

 

Incidentally, I developed and am implementing part of the solution with Journey Groups.




Fallible Opinion

Whiz Comics #22 (Oct. 1941), featuring Captain...

Whiz Comics #22 (Oct. 1941), featuring Captain Marvel and his young alter-ego, Billy Batson. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

I have a Superman cape hanging in my office, because I put on a costume and save people, and I always want to remember to focus on people in need, but I’m probably more like Shazam than Superman, because when I’m speaking theologically, I’m confident what I’m saying, because although I’m not speaking Ex Cathedra, as long as I can back up what I’m saying with a coherent interpretation of Scripture, I’m strong, but when I’m speaking personal opinion, I’m Billy Batson.

But I believe that, as a citizen of the United States, I have a duty to express an informed opinion. Of course, the Internet is a mixed blessing, since “informed” takes on new meaning with a virtually unlimited amount of information on any topic. So when I express an opinion, not only do I consider that opinion fallible and subject to change, but I’m also usually looking for counterpoints to better understand the issue, which is rarely as black-and-white as proponents of both sides of the issue would like to make it. I’m also terrified that someone might see my opinion on something and, because I’m a pastor, turn against Jesus or the church because they disagree with my opinion, which I’m just as likely to disagree with in the future.

So with that in mind, I submit my opinions here as just that, opinions, subject to change, likely wrong, based on my limited experience, and encouraging alternate viewpoints.